Assetz advises that until the Greek crisis reaches its conclusion, investors would be wise to take a ‘wait and see’ approach towards buying properties in high risk countries such as Spain, Italy and Portugal.
Although unlikely in the short term, if the Eurozone did break up, the impact on sterling denominated property values for foreign investors could be devastating in weaker countries, if they exited the Euro and returned to a devalued national currency. This is still very likely in the case of Greece and a distinct possibility in the case of Portugal, Spain and Italy.
Stuart Law, Chief Executive of Assetz, said:
“The persistence of the crisis, coupled with slow growth projections and a weak performance from EU authorities and governments, means things are likely to get worse before they get better.
“The property markets in these countries are not going to recover quickly, as their recessions drag on. Sensible investors will wait until there is some indication of a resolution to the sovereign debt crisis in Greece and the impact on the banking sector and the economies of other weaker EU members can be assessed. Property may look appealingly cheap in some cases, but it could be worth half of today’s values to a foreign owner if it was suddenly being valued in Drachma, which we believe could face a 50% devaluation if Greece leaves the Euro.
“There will always be demand for property in desirable locations such as France’s Cote d’Azur and Paris, but raising finance currently can be a challenge. Cash rich holiday home buyers who can afford to take a longer term view and are motivated to buy for the location and climate, may feel the time is right to seek out a bargain. However, the majority of investors would do well to sit tight until the situation becomes clearer, or concentrate on safer countries with less exposure to a partial Eurozone breakup such as the UK, USA or France.”
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