Election uncertainty drives sellers to market

New buyer enquiries stabilised in March, the net balance falling from seven percent to zero. Surveyors report that political uncertainty is pushing vendors to market their property before the impending General Election.

Nine percent more Chartered Surveyors reported a rise than a fall in house prices down from 18 percent in February. There was significant variation in regional price trends, London, the South East and Scotland are the performing markets but according to surveyors, more respondents reported that prices are now falling rather than rising in East Anglia, Yorkshire and Humberside, the North and the West Midlands.

Activity is expected to rise over the coming months, but at a more subdued pace than was expected in February. The sales expectations net balance fell from a positive 15 percent  to 5 percent.  Prices are expected to more or less stabilise over the coming months. The price expectations net balance fell from a positive five percent to -2 in March.

The average stock of property on surveyors’ books increased six percent on the month to 67 properties per surveyor, the largest monthly increase since February 2008. However, the average number of completed sales fell by 2.8 percent on the month to 17.1 per surveyor.

This had the effect of lowering the sales to stock ratio – a key indicator of future house price inflation – from 27.8 percent in February to 25.5 in March which is the lowest reading since July 2009.

RICS spokesperson Ian Perry said:

With the general election approaching and uncertainty growing over the political direction of the country, many vendors who were previously inclined to sit on the sidelines now appear eager to put their properties on the market.  For the time being, many of the key housing market indicators are still positive or stable.

However, with stocks increasing and sales decreasing we may see some modest price falls in some regions although London, the South East and Scotland are continuing to perform well.

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