Weaker demand and increased supply hits house price expectations

The most notable exceptions to this trend are London and Scotland.

Buyer interest fell for only the second time since October 2008 reflecting in part heightened uncertainty over the near term outlook for the economy. Five percent more chartered surveyors reported a fall than a rise in new buyer enquires down from a positive eight percent in May. This contrasts with a sustained rise in supply.

The net balance of surveyors reporting rises in new instructions has remained in positive territory for 13 successive months. 27 percent more chartered surveyors reported a rise than fall in new instructions, up from 22 percent in May and the highest reading since May 2007 when the net balance was 44 percent. This latest increase in instructions is partly a response to the recent decision to abolish HIPs in England and Wales.

The increase is supply has started to impact on surveyor sentiment towards house prices over the coming months. Four percent more chartered surveyors expect prices to fall which is down from a positive reading of four percent last month.

More positively, the larger number of properties coming to the market should help bolster activity which has been depressed partly because of a lack of choice for home buyers. Sales are expected to rise over the coming months with the net balance remaining firmly in positive territory at 19 percent. During June, the average number of completed sales remained static but the average number of stocks on surveyor’s books rose by five to 67.

Jeremy Leaf, RICS spokesperson said

"A shortage of stock has been one factor holding back transaction activity in the housing market but the abolition of HIPS is helping to belatedly address this issue. This is likely to be reflected in higher sales numbers over the coming months. However, with supply of property now beginning to outstrip demand there is a risk of some modest slippage in prices during the second half of the year.”

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0 thoughts on “Weaker demand and increased supply hits house price expectations

  1. Peter Barlow

    Remove a barrier to new sales instructions ie HIPs, continue with a restricted supply of funding and any schoolboy economist will tell you that prices will fall so why should this be any surprise. However, there is regional variation to this and in the North West property prices have not increased over the last 18 months as they have elsewhere so the sentiment here is that price stability will prevail.