Supply increase fails to stop property price rises

The supply demand imbalance has been the main factor influencing prices and, unsurprisingly, for the fourth month in a row the majority of surveyors are again reporting rising rather than falling prices. A net balance of 35% of Chartered Surveyors agreed that prices were rising, up from 34% in October.

Transaction levels remained broadly constant with sales per surveying firm hovering around 19 over the past three months. But with the inventory of property on the market falling, the closely watched sales to stock ratio – a measure of market slack and a lead indicator of future prices– has climbed a little further. It has now risen for the past 12 months and stands at 31%.

Although the latest survey provides further evidence that key indicators continue to improve, the pace of these improvements does appear to be slowing. In particular, the number of respondents feeling positive about the outlook for prices dropped slightly. Some 28% of Chartered Surveyors believe that prices will continue to rise rather than fall over the next three months; this is slightly down form 31% the previous month.

London and the South east continue to be the most buoyant regions with buyer inquiries remaining strong against subdued levels of instructions and as such, prices are rising most rapidly.

Ian Perry, RICS spokesperson said: "For the fourth month in a row, the survey points towards prices rising, even though the general state of the economy would suggest that the housing market should not be faring as well as it is. Despite modest increases in the number of properties coming on to the market, it is clear that this is not significant enough to keep pace with the levels of demand. Buyer inquiries are continuing to grow and with the pace of job losses now easing, the risk is that the new year could see a further wave of interest in the market."

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